Evansville
W-L: ( 5-14) PR = 91.4858Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 3-11 213 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 2- 5 214 H Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 11-18 220 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 2- 9 221 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 3- 5 221 H Kentucky SEC (33-25, 95.9) 1- 0 224 A Vanderbilt SEC (32-22, 97.1) 3-15 306 H NC State ACC (34-21, 96.4) 2- 6 306 H Texas SEC (49-13, 99.5) 2-14 308 A Ole Miss SEC (38-25, 97.7) 3- 8 310 A Cincinnati B12 (38-21, 96.8) 11-13 313 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 5- 7 314 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 6- 4 315 A Xavier BE (27-30, 93.6) 5- 1 331 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 5- 4 415 A Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 6- 8 520 A Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 4- 8 521 A Southern Illinois MV ( 6- 8, 90.6) 2- 3 521 H Illinois State MV ( 4-13, 90.9) 6- 3
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Kennesaw State 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.13
213 A Marshall 2- 5 -3 -3 -0.35
214 H Marshall 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.70
220 A Boston College 2- 9 -7 -5 -1.95
221 H Kentucky 3- 5 -2 -4 1.75
224 A Vanderbilt 3-15 -12 -6 -- -5.69
306 H NC State 2- 6 -4 -4 0.22
306 H Texas 2-14 -12 -7 -- -4.70
308 A Ole Miss 3- 8 -5 -7 1.86
310 A Cincinnati 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.96
313 A Xavier 5- 7 -2 -3 0.78
314 A Xavier 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.78
315 A Xavier 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.78
331 H Indiana 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.89
415 A Indiana 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.25
520 A Southern Illinois 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.25
521 A Southern Illinois 2- 3 -1 0 -1.25
521 H Illinois State 6- 3 3 1 1.74
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Kennesaw State 3-11 -8 -4 -- -4.13 214 H Marshall 11-18 -7 -1 -- -5.70 224 A Vanderbilt 3-15 -12 -6 -- -5.69 306 H Texas 2-14 -12 -7 -- -4.70 520 A Southern Illinois 4- 8 -4 0 -- -4.25 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 315 A Xavier 5- 1 4 -3 +++ 6.78 314 A Xavier 6- 4 2 -3 ++ 4.78 310 A Cincinnati 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.96 331 H Indiana 5- 4 1 -3 + 3.89 415 A Indiana 6- 8 -2 -4 + 2.25 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 3-11 -5.22 13.20 0.68 1.52 -3.46
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 2- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 1.52 -4.38
3 H Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 11-18 -6.44 11.99 -0.68 1.52 -5.41
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 2- 9 -4.04 14.39 0.68 1.52 -2.56
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 3- 5 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.52 -3.55
3 H Kentucky (33-25, 95.9) 1- 0 -3.98 14.44 -0.68 1.52 41.91
3 A Vanderbilt (32-22, 97.1) 3-15 -2.78 15.65 0.68 1.52 -1.60
3 H NC State (34-21, 96.4) 2- 6 -3.52 14.91 -0.68 1.52 -3.19
3 H Texas (49-13, 99.5) 2-14 -0.44 17.99 -0.68 1.52 -0.85
3 A Ole Miss (38-25, 97.7) 3- 8 -2.23 16.20 0.68 1.52 -1.18
3 A Cincinnati (38-21, 96.8) 11-13 -3.13 15.29 0.68 1.52 -1.87
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 5- 7 -6.31 12.12 0.68 1.52 -4.29
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 6- 4 -6.31 12.12 0.68 1.52 38.95
3 A Xavier (27-30, 93.6) 5- 1 -6.31 12.12 0.68 1.52 38.95
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 5- 4 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 1.52 39.29
3 A Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 6- 8 -4.84 13.58 0.68 1.52 -3.17
3 A Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 4- 8 -9.34 9.08 0.68 1.52 -6.60
3 A Southern Illin ( 6- 8, 90.6) 2- 3 -9.34 9.08 0.68 1.52 -6.60
3 H Illinois State ( 4-13, 90.9) 6- 3 -9.00 9.43 -0.68 1.52 26.64
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137.03
|
winning pts = 185.7392 losing points = -48.7064
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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